I have an odd feeling on this day, Sunday, September 23, 9:40 p.m., that Brett Kavanaugh may well withdraw from the nomination by the end of this week.
It’s a hunch, yes. I’m guessing that there must be other allegations out there, someone else with collaborative knowledge, perhaps an acquaintance or friend is just about fed up with the self-righteous bluster. I’m guess that is true because I’m guessing that Kavanaugh is a liar, particularly after his comment that he did not attend the party that Christine Blasey Ford did not identify.
The correct answer, Mr. Kavanaugh, was “I did attend parties around that time but I never did what Ms. Blasey says I did” or “I never attended any parties that time in my life” or “I don’t remember ever meeting Ms. Blasey Ford at any party I attended”. The first seems plausible, the second ridiculous, and third makes the most sense, if the accusations are false.
But he said, “I didn’t attend that party”. It’s not a slam dunk, but it’s damaging, to me. It’s like a burglar responding to an accusation that he is a burglar saying, “I did not break into that house on Maple Street on Friday.” Nobody said Maple Street. Nobody said Friday.
So I suspect the allegation is true, and if it is, I suspect there will be some form of collaboration. And if there is, there will be a lot of cold political calculations going on in Mitch McConnell’s office. Do they really want to go into the November elections with this dragging behind them? Just how pissed off will educated white women be at the Republicans desperate attempts to whitewash the issue? When McConnell says Kavanaugh will be confirmed (to a gathering of evangelical leaders), he has basically said that Ms. Blasey Ford is a liar. All while vowing to investigate the charges fully.
And if no collaboration shows up, I’ll concede that Ms. Blasey-Ford’s allegations may well be false. Nobody who remembers them both being at the same party. Nobody who remembers similar behavior by Kavanaugh at other parties. Nobody how heard about the incident at the time. It may be a false memory, or a blended memory, or a recovered memory– who knows– but false.
I just read this:
After six days of carefully assessing her memories and consulting with her attorney, Ramirez said that she felt confident enough of her recollections to say that she remembers Kavanaugh had exposed himself at a drunken dormitory party, thrust his penis in her face, and caused her to touch it without her consent as she pushed him away. New Yorker
Well, that’s sort of what I imagined but it sounds a lot like Ms. Ramirez is “recovering” memories, which I think are worthless. And it comes from an article by Ronan Farrow who is not a reliable source for this kind of story.
[whohit]Will Kavanaugh Withdraw?[/whohit]